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100OZ ABC SILVER CAST BAR $2698.50 USD Silver price $25.11 / oz. SOLD OUT Sometime over the next month or so, maybe as early as next week, Scott Morrison, will be forced to announce the Federal election but I suspect right now he’s waiting for there to be a change in public sentiment as reflected in the polls. Bout in life and in politics, timing is everything and the government is running out of runway to turn that sentiment around. Working against the government is the fact that perception and attitudes by now are pretty much baked in. That’s why the polls are what they are. And it’s not necessarily that given Covid for most of this term, the government has done anything particularly wrong. It’s that they just seem to be in a holding pattern. The perception is that the Morrison government is drifting and without purpose. Going through the motions, out of ideas and just holding onto the wheel, always reacting to events rather than shaping events. In other words leading from behind. To say the Libs are taking on water is an understatement and another conversation on marginal tax rates, superannuation or the latest defence acquisition is not going to cut through around the suburban kitchen table in the suburbs and inspire anyone enough to dig the government out from under. People want to be engaged and what the government needs to understand and accept is that only an inspiring, visionary and dramatic announcement can galvanise the electorate and sling shot the coalition, roller derby style, to the front of the pack and at least get them some attention and make them competitive. That announcement must be about nuclear energy and a proposed plebiscite or referendum ahead of repealing the 1998 law prohibiting the development of nuclear energy and then setting out to do exactly that. The idea is with the focus on energy, it’s cost and reliability into the future, to test public. Up until recent years and particular at the time nuclear energy was banned it was of no particular interest to the average citizen because energy was abundant and its cost and reliability wasn’t an issue. It wasn’t front of mind. Most people, even today, are probably unaware that there is a law banning nuclear energy in Australia Now it is an issue and all alternatives must be explored snd explained. Apart from the knee jerk reaction and drive by opinion about Fukushima and Chernobyl, very few people would have a clue why nuclear energy was banned in the first place. I’m not even sure myself apart from the fact that at the time it was made to be political kryptonite. No one even in the political class foresaw energy as the issue that it is today. People weren’t climate savvy or knew or understood the politics of climate change and how the various climate policies would impact their daily lives but now they see it every few months when the postman drops their latest bill in the letter box. People who were never interested in the politics of energy or where it came from and just flicked the switch are now fully engaged. They deserve to know about ALL the alternatives and not just a few and it’s impossible to see the harm in putting nuclear energy to a referendum unless of course you’d rather not not know or care what the public thinks. A no response will put us exactly where we are today. A yes response will give the government the courage to take it further. We need to create a nuclear energy industry to unshackle and free the nation from our infantile, undergraduate anti-nuclear mindset. This is one of those Shakespearean, Brutus, “tides in the affairs of men” moments. Labor the Greens and the renewable energy rent seekers will go all out with a scare campaign but when power bills are through the roof and going higher, what can they say? The beatings will continue until morale improves? There was a time in recent years when the niche and boutique issue of same sex marriage was unthinkable and well outside the Overton Window of what was politically acceptable and do-able. The same applied over the imposition of the GST. But if there is one thing recent events and the war between Russia and Ukraine have underscored, particularly in Germany and Europe more broadly it is that depending on unreliable and unaffordable and unavailable renewables for base-load power, driven by the vagaries of the weather or other forces outside of your control, was always a foolish and idiotic idea. The same applies to our supply chains. To borrow a couple of lines from Gough Whitlam, just as with SSM and the GST “it’s time” for Morrison to fire up the conversation and lead. Time to “crash through or crash”. With Albanese and Labor, who should be easy beats, we know what’s coming. It’ll be boats, it’ll be signing onto the global reset and Chinas Belt and Road and it’ll be all things identity by compulsion and woke ideology. The Democrats in the US will be their lodestar and their operating model. This is a pivotal moment in the nations history and if you’re going to die on a hill, this has got to be the one. https://www.jimball.com.au/blog/random-note-nuclear-plebiscite-or-referendum-the-public-deserves-their-voice-be-heard/
isaiah_smith replied:
Energy The only way for Australia to staunch the bleeding of base-load power generation is for the Federal government to step in today and build several coal fired power plants. On Federal lands if necessary if the states give any grief. Everything, literally everything, hinges on energy. Reliable, affordable and deliverable base load energy, 24/7 and you won’t get there with boutique, niche market renewables. This is a very real and actual looming national emergency. This lack of curiosity and sense of an emerging crisis is the real existential threat, not the lipbiting, handwringing, weepy, woke politics of climate change. Everyone can see what’s coming but it seems that only when the lights start to fade and flicker will some Einsteinian genius have their own light bulb moment and suggest we ought to do something by which time it’ll be too late. You only have to look at what’s going on in Europe right now. Germany has been decommissioning their nuclear power stations for some years and have hooked up to gas from Russia and now that’s all unravelling and Germany faces the prospect of becoming stranded. This is how quickly things can go sideways from out of left field and the Australian government needs to get out in front of this, now. But course they won’t. The problem is, Labor is blinded by woke and green ideology and the Libs are just god awful, hopeless and too fragile, frightened and timid. Of course the anti coal renewable huxters will bleat, squeal and moan that the government shouldn’t be interfering in the market. The rejoinder of course would be: What the hell are subsidies to the renewable boondoggle if not interference in the market? A thumb on the scale, designed to effectively squeeze coal out of the market? https://www.jimball.com.au/blog/random-note-energy-2/
isaiah_smith replied:
The Wests Green Delusions Empowered Putin — Michael Shellenberger Without doubt, this is THE BEST read on current events visa vis Russia, Ukraine and the impotence of Europe, particularly Germany and more broadly how the pigeons of climate worship have come home to roost and crap all over the self anointed elites who think they no best Michael Shellenberger is a recovering true believer and climate catastrophist himself, so he knows what he’s talking about. His books include Apocalypse Never and his most recent, San Fran-sicko. Cut and paste below and more at the link — “…There are serious limits to how much the U.S. and Europe are willing to do militarily. And Putin knows it. Missing from that explanation, though, is a story about material reality and basic economics—two things that Putin seems to understand far better than his counterparts in the free world and especially in Europe. Putin knows that Europe produces 3.6 million barrels of oil a day but uses 15 million barrels of oil a day. Putin knows that Europe produces 230 billion cubic meters of natural gas a year but uses 560 billion cubic meters. He knows that Europe uses 950 million tons of coal a year but produces half that. The former KGB agent knows Russia produces 11 million barrels of oil per day but only uses 3.4 million. He knows Russia now produces over 700 billion cubic meters of gas a year but only uses around 400 billion. Russia mines 800 million tons of coal each year but uses 300. That’s how Russia ends up supplying about 20 percent of Europe’s oil, 40 percent of its gas, and 20 percent of its coal. The math is simple. A child could do it. The reason Europe didn’t have a muscular deterrent threat to prevent Russian aggression—and in fact prevented the U.S. from getting allies to do more—is that it needs Putin’s oil and gas. The question is why. How is it possible that European countries, Germany especially, allowed themselves to become so dependent on an authoritarian country over the 30 years since the end of the Cold War? Here’s how: These countries are in the grips of a delusional ideology that makes them incapable of understanding the hard realities of energy production. Green ideology insists we don’t need nuclear and that we don’t need fracking. It insists that it’s just a matter of will and money to switch to all-renewables—and fast. It insists that we need “degrowth” of the economy, and that we face looming human “extinction.” (I would know. I myself was once a true believer.) As the West fell into a hypnotic trance about healing its relationship with nature, averting climate apocalypse and worshiping a teenager named Greta, Vladimir Putin made his moves. While he expanded nuclear energy at home so Russia could export its precious oil and gas to Europe, Western governments spent their time and energy obsessing over “carbon footprints,” a term created by an advertising firm working for British Petroleum. They banned plastic straws because of a 9-year-old Canadian child’s science homework. They paid for hours of “climate anxiety” therapy. The numbers tell the story best. In 2016, 30 percent of the natural gas consumed by the European Union came from Russia. In 2018, that figure jumped to 40 percent. By 2020, it was nearly 44 percent, and by early 2021, it was nearly 47 percent. For all his fawning over Putin, Donald Trump, back in 2018, defied diplomatic protocol to call out Germany publicly for its dependence on Moscow. “Germany, as far as I’m concerned, is captive to Russia because it’s getting so much of its energy from Russia,” Trump said. This prompted Germany’s then-chancellor, Angela Merkel, who had been widely praised in polite circles for being the last serious leader in the West, to say that her country “can make our own policies and make our own decisions.” The result has been the worst global energy crisis since 1973, driving prices for electricity and gasoline higher around the world. It is a crisis, fundamentally, of inadequate supply. But the scarcity is entirely manufactured. Germany has trapped itself. It could burn more coal and undermine its commitment to reducing carbon emissions. Or it could use more natural gas, which generates half the carbon emissions of coal, but at the cost of dependence on imported Russian gas. Berlin was faced with a choice between unleashing the wrath of Putin on neighboring countries or inviting the wrath of Greta Thunberg. They chose Putin. Because of these policy choices, Vladimir Putin could turn off the gas flows to Germany, and quickly threaten Germans’ ability to cook or stay warm. He or his successor will hold this power for every foreseeable winter barring big changes. It’s as if you knew that hackers had stolen your banking details, but you won’t change your password…” https://www.jimball.com.au/uncategorised/the-wests-green-delusions-empowered-putin-michael-shellenberger/
isaiah_smith replied:
Eraring Power Station The closure of Eraring power station and others across Australia before 24/7base-load alternatives are in place and proven and committing the economy to unreliable renewables, subject to the vagaries of the weather is driven by mindless green left ideology. And still nuclear doesn’t rate a mention. As bad as the Liberals maybe, the election of the equally green, left, Labor Party, held hostage by the Greens and coterie of vague and ditzy “Drs Wives”, committed to whatever feels good, this insanity combined with an equally insane commitment to the whims of the likes of the World Economic Forum, it will only be turbocharged and ramped up. And now, to add napalm to the energy dumpster fire, woke billionaire Mike Cannon-Brookes is pitching for AGL to further speed up the exit from coal. There’s no other way to frame this pitch other than an essential service is about to become the ideological plaything of the uber wealthy who have the capacity to shield and insulate themselves from any short comings of renewables that rely on the weather gods, whether that be via his personal, domestic generation plants or the massive increase in the cost of electricity. Either way he’s covered and to hell with the little people. And of course as a player in the renewable space, the bonus of massive subsides courtesy of the taxpayer. This corporate chess move also plays into and reinforces my thesis as to why the government should never sell the ABC, because you can never predict who will buy it or how they will harness it or repurpose and transform it for their own ideological ends. If we are so committed to this economic and energy suicide, before we take it any further, perhaps as an experiment and a test of the grid, we should allocate several days or an entire week and wind down coal fired electricity output to replicate the effect of the closure of Eraring. Ideally the trial(s) would be conducted during peak summer and winter to get the full impact of the renewable folly. We could all prepare weeks in advance to ride out this lab experiment and gain an understanding of what’s in store. It may sound like an insane idea but then jumping straight in with no fall back or lifeline would be even more so which seems to be the direction we’re headed. Up until now renewables have had a free ride and haven’t be put to the test as a stand alone concept. They’ve been able to hide in the shadows as a romantic, niche and boutique idea while coal has been getting its hand dirty doing the base load heavy lifting. It’s time to put renewables in the dock before its too late. But that won’t happen. The first taste we’ll get of how dumb this is, is when it’s too late. What we need is not so much alternative energy but alternative politicians. https://www.jimball.com.au/blog/random-note-eraring-power-station/
Privatisation of an essential service Although Mike Cannon-Brookes pitch for AGL has been rejected by the board, for a second time, such a corporate play should serve as a warning because his entry into the energy ownership mix highlights the predictable and eventual folly of losing control to corporate rather than community interests with the selling off of an essential service. That is, you never know who is going to buy and what ideological baggage they bring to the table. If this sale or similar (think, the ABC) were to proceed, Cannon-Brookes has indicated his ideological determination to turbocharge and telescope the transformation of the AGL energy grid to unreliable and unaffordable renewables into an even tighter timeframe than was already proposed. All of this is the end result of an equal determination of privatisation by a combination of a big end of town, lobbyist and banker class and a shortsighted and ideological political class. For the last 10 or 15 years, while coal has been getting its hands dirty doing the heavy lifting, renewables, with taxpayer subsidies have had a free ride and able to hide in the shadows as a romantic, niche and boutique idea that has never been put to the test as a stand alone concept, able to produce 24/7energy. Subject to and reliant upon the vagaries of the weather, it stands to reason that renewables can only ever be as predictable as the weather and as such, very much a hit and miss proposition. https://www.jimball.com.au/blog/random-note-privatisation-of-an-essential-service/
isaiah_smith replied:
Renewables v Coal fired Only a fool would dive into a body of water without a knowledge of its depth, currents and eddys or testing for submerged objects, so why are we prepared to shut down our coal fired energy before diving into a pool of renewables before testing its capacity to deliver 24/7 base-load energy? Before going any further with this sleepwalk to insanity, we need to replicate the effect of closing Liddell, Bayswater, Eraring and others with several trial runs in peak winter and summer by winding back their output for a few days to mimic life under 100% renewables. Like all talk, renewables chatter is cheap as we’re constantly told that boutique and niche renewables are up for the challenge, ready for Broadway, can deliver and are cheaper than coal – in which case cancel the subsidies. So let’s put all the incessant and loud renewables talk to the test and on centre stage before diving in. It may sound like an insane idea but then jumping straight in with no fall back or lifeline would be even more insane and that seems to be the direction in which we’re headed. Up until now, renewables have had a free ride and haven’t be put to the test as a stand alone concept. They’ve been able to hide in the shadows as a romantic, niche and boutique idea while coal has been getting its hand dirty doing the base load heavy lifting. It’s time to put renewables in the dock before its too late. https://www.jimball.com.au/blog/random-note-renewables-v-coal-fired/
Is This Their Moment? Anthony Albanese and Labor’s election branding bumper sticker and cliché of “Build Back Stronger” sounds remarkably like Joe Biden’s “Build Back Better”. The provenance of Build Back Better (stronger) is word for word straight from the World Economic Forum’s Davos agenda and their great global reset of the world economy where you’ll own nothing and be happy. At this moment in history the elites see a glass half full with a global economic meltdown, kicked along, first by covid and now turbocharged by an oil crisis, a looming food crisis, climate catastrophism and panic and war in Ukraine, as Manna from heaven. Combined with the discombobulating and disorienting unravelling and trashing of everything familiar — identity, gender, history and culture and with China and Russia both suddenly rampant with Iran getting a second wind, they see this alignment of the stars as their big opportunity to finally at last, usher in their shining city on a hill with the great global reset but what will be a new dark age and dystopian future for everyone else. Are we paying attention yet? https://www.jimball.com.au/blog/random-note-is-this-their-moment/
isaiah_smith replied:
isaiah_smith replied:
Nuclear These Uni Students for Climate Justice and Extinction Rebellion at the rally yesterday are not to be taken seriously. As I wrote several weeks back: It’s not the climate the activists want to change, but YOU. It’s all about control and dictating the way you live your life. No amount of action will ever be enough for the climate catastrophist and activist class and they’ll just keep doubling down because in reality it’s not a change of climate they seek so much as their own personal validation and affirmation. It is their raisin d’être and if it wasn’t climate change that was their motivating and animating principle, it would be something else. More importantly, if they were at all serious about solving the problem of Co2 emissions, and more real and do-able action on climate, if it were indeed a crisis and an emergency, requiring urgent and immediate action, they would be demanding that we switch to 100% nuclear, tomorrow. But nuclear would neutralise Co2 as a political issue and in one bold sweep, take it off the table and deprive the climate and carbon cult of their single, H L Mencken, “hobgoblin” political football. Going nuclear is what keeps them awake at night but not for the reasons we may think. Nuclear is their kryptonite, their Achilles heel and embracing it would mean having to give up on their co2 and climate psychosis and find another cause to politicise and celebrate. Another cause to fret over and become anxious about. https://www.jimball.com.au/random-notes/random-note-nuclear/